Monday, February 25, 2019

Friday, February 22, 2019

2019 Oscars Predictions Part 2

Let’s continue by predicting the major awards of the evening!
Best Achievement in Visual Effects
·         Avengers: Infinity War – Dan DeLeeuw, Kelly Port, Russell Earl, Dan Sudick
·         Christopher Robin - Christopher Lawrence, Michael Eames, Theo Jones, Chris Corbould
·         First Man – Paul Lambert, Ian Hunter, Tristan Myles, J.D. Schwalm
·         Ready Player One – Roger Guyett, Grady Cofer, Matthew E. Butler, David Shirk
·         Solo: A Star Wars Story – Rob Bredow, Patrick Tubach, Neal Scanlan, Dominic Tuohy
Who I’d vote for: Ready Player One – Holy cow, what a visual feast! I’m a huge fan of 3D when it’s done right and boy did Mr. Spielberg and Dreamworks deliver. The entire film is practically visual effects. That lifts it above the excellent work of the other nominees.
Who will win: Avengers: Infinity War – The #1 global box office film of 2018 (and all-time opening weekend record-holder) should have an Oscar too, right? If the voters want to honor the major earners of the year then they have to vote Infinity War for “Best Visual Effects” as this is the only chance to do so. Seamlessly combining all the different worlds within the Marvel Cinematic Universe makes a win over Ready Player One and First Man justifiable. Embed from Getty Images
Best Animated Feature Film
·         Incredibles 2 – Brad Bird, John Walker, Nicole Paradis Grindle
·         Isle of Dogs – Wes Anderson, Scott Rudin, Steven Rales, Jeremy Dawson
·         Mirai – Mamoru Hosoda, Yuichiro Saito
·         Ralph Breaks the Internet – Rich Moore, Phil Johnston, Clark Spencer
·         Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse – Bob Persichetti, Peter Ramsey, Rodney Rothman, Phil Lord, Christopher Miller
Who I’d vote for: Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse – Spider-Verse was truly a one-of-a-kind movie going experience and I didn’t even have to see it in 3D. Most of the scenes felt like 3D anyway with the unique style of animation meant to immerse the viewer into the comic book cells; which perfectly complemented the film’s message that anyone could be under the mask. Spider-Verse finds itself on my Top 10 Overall Films of 2018 so this one’s a no-brainer.
Who will win: Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse – It has won every precursor there is; I mean every single one. Even with two fantastic Disney sequels and a Wes Anderson gem in the running, Spider-Verse will run away with this statuette. Not only is the animation groundbreaking, the story and the characters within that story are equally monumental. A win here for Lord/Miller almost makes up for the Oscar snub of The Lego Movie in 2014. Embed from Getty Images
Best Adapted Screenplay
·         A Star Is Born – Eric Roth, Will Fetters, Bradley Cooper
·         The Ballad of Buster Scruggs – Joel Coen, Ethan Coen
·         BlacKkKlansman – Charlie Wachtel, David Rabinowitz, Kevin Willmott, Spike Lee
·         If Beale Street Could Talk – Barry Jenkins
·         Can You Ever Forgive Me? – Nicole Holofcener, Jeff Whitty
Who I’d vote for: A Star Is Born – I had a great amount of apprehension when I heard there would be yet another remake of A Star Is Born. The original tale has been done to death with the 3 previous films of the same name and countless other imitators. But the screenwriters were able to breathe modern life into this century-old story and gave us the best monologue of the year in Sam Elliott’s ode to his brother while consoling Ali. “All any artist can offer the world is how they see those twelve notes. That’s it. He loved how you see them.”
Who will win: BlacKkKlansmanBeale Street has won some of the pre-cursors but it is not nominated for Best Picture. I believe that gives the edge to BlacKkKlansman which is coming off a victory at the BAFTA awards. The only other Best Picture nominee in this category is A Star Is Born but I envision the Academy gravitating towards the script dealing with race relations instead of the script dealing with mental health and addiction. This would also mark the first Oscar win for Spike Lee, which could be ratings gold resulting in one of the most memorable acceptance speeches in Academy history.
Best Original Screenplay
·         The Favourite – Deborah Davis, Tony McNamara
·         First Reformed – Paul Schrader
·         Green Book – Nick Vallelonga, Brian Hayes Currie, Peter Farrelly
·         Roma – Alfonso Cuaron
·         Vice – Adam McKay
Who I’d vote for: The Favourite – No other film radiates wit and intelligence more than The Favourite. On the surface, the film could have been another boring period piece about yet another privileged Queen. Yet, it turns into a delightful commentary on female empowerment when only a handful of women in the world had any power at all. All three principal ladies gain and lose influence as they navigate their moral boundaries for self-preservation.
Who will winThe FavouriteRoma and Vice should be considered legitimate contenders but they will win other awards so this will be another case of spreading the love. Green Book was looking like the front-runner but controversial remarks made by one of its writers have seriously damaged its chances at this award, as well as Best Picture. The Favourite had the most complex and innovative script of the bunch; the odds should be in their favour. Embed from Getty Images
Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role
·         Mahershala Ali – Green Book
·         Adam Driver - BlacKkKlansman
·         Sam Elliott – A Star Is Born
·         Richard E. Grant – Can You Ever Forgive Me?
·         Sam Rockwell - Vice
Who I’d vote for: Sam Elliott – This one is really a coin flip between Ali and Elliott but if forced to choose I would pick Elliott. His portrayal of the man who took a backseat to his younger brother is a masterclass in mixing vulnerability with tough man bravado. I sure would love to hear that iconic voice who lamented about “The Dude” give an acceptance speech this Sunday. Embed from Getty Images
Who will win: Mahershala Ali – All signs point to Ali winning his second Oscar in the past three years. He took home the SAG, Golden Globe, Critics Choice, and BAFTA already. Nothing is stopping this freight train. It’s exciting to see what’s on the horizon for Ali. Here’s my prediction…he will be taking home more hardware next awards season for his role in HBO’s “True Detective”. Add an Emmy to the mantle.
Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role
·         Amy Adams - Vice
·         Marina de Tavira - Roma
·         Regina King – If Beale Street Could Talk
·         Emma Stone – The Favourite
·         Rachel Weisz - The Favourite
Who I’d vote for: Rachel Weisz – Even though this is a crop of stellar performances, I only have one question. Can I vote for Emily Blunt in A Quiet Place? She won the SAG but somehow was snubbed come Oscar announcements. Weisz lands at #2 on my list of supporting actresses this year behind Blunt while King (#4), Stone (#5) and Adams (#6) trail right behind. All three women of The Favourite are mesmerizing but Weisz’s “smartest lady in the room” edges out the rest.
Who will win: Regina King – The supporting actress accolades have been all over the place with Blunt (SAG), Weisz (BAFTA), and King (Critics Choice/Golden Globe) each winning respective awards. The distinguishing factor here is that whenever King is nominated, she wins. She is a formidable power player in town who can also produce and direct. People are lining up to work with her and it will show in this year’s voting. Expect to see King accept an Oscar to keep her Emmy collection company. Embed from Getty Images
Best Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role
·         Christian Bale - Vice
·         Bradley Cooper – A Star Is Born
·         Willem Dafoe – At Eternity’s Gate
·         Rami Malek – Bohemian Rhapsody
·         Viggo Mortensen – Green Book
Who I’d vote for: Christian Bale – I’ve talked to plenty of people who were shocked to learn the identity of the man behind the Dick Cheney makeup. Bale gives an unmatched performance much like Gary Oldman did last year (Darkest Hour). Some could argue his performance was greatly enhanced by the hair/makeup team; which I cannot deny. However, Bale nails Cheney’s devilish smirk and his unmistakable voice and swagger. Anybody with a brain in their skull should vote for Bale.
Who will win: Rami Malek – Unfortunately, many people do not vote with their brains. Malek will win because people will vote with their hearts. Bale had been winning all the pre-cursors until he shot himself in the foot by thanking Satan in one of his acceptance speeches. It was a sly joke at the expense of the man he portrayed but when compared to Malek’s promotion of Freddie Mercury’s positivity and inclusiveness, you start to comprehend the shift in opinions. While I would rank every other actor’s performance in this category above Malek, I understand why people are drawn to Malek, the person.   Embed from Getty Images
Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role
·         Yalitza Aparicio - Roma
·         Glenn Close – The Wife
·         Olivia Colman - The Favourite
·         Lady Gaga – A Star Is Born
·         Melissa McCarthy – Can You Ever Forgive Me?
Who I’d vote for: Glenn Close – There are two particular scenes in The Wife that are beautiful and devastating at the same time. Each scene is an appropriate close-up of the renowned actress where she conveys every thought in her head without uttering a single word. It’s the type of performance that makes an actor a legend…if they aren’t one already.
Who will win: Glenn Close – This will be Close’s seventh attempt at winning her ever elusive Oscar as her previous tries sadly came up short. I mean, come on! Mo’Nique has an Oscar and Glenn Close doesn’t?!? The voters are well aware of this and will reward her with a long overdue Oscar. Sometimes this is done at the wrong time for the wrong performance but not in this case. Lady Gaga will get her Oscar for “Best Song” so I don’t see her winning “Best Actress”. Colman has a chance at an upset but at the end of the day the voters will show the respect due to the unparalleled Glenn Close.  Embed from Getty Images
Best Achievement in Directing
·         Alfonso Cuaron - Roma
·         Yorgos Lanthimos – The Favourite
·         Spike Lee - BlacKkKlansman
·         Adam McKay - Vice
·         Pawel Pawlikowski – Cold War
Who I’d vote for: Alfonso Cuaron – Can you give an Oscar for “Best Blocking” (choreographing actor’s movements)? Yes, yes you can. It’s called “Best Director”. Cuaron is the master of maneuvering his actors and cameras seamlessly. I was enthralled by each and every camera movement that effortlessly matched the performers’ actions. He also wrought an Oscar nominated performance from his lead actress who had never even been in a film before. I really wish Damien Chazelle (First Man), John Krasinski (A Quiet Place) and Rob Marshall (Mary Poppins Returns) were representatives in this category but Cuaron would still get my vote.
Who will win: Alfonso Cuaron – Here is another lock of the evening. All the pre-cursors have gone his way and the biggest indicator of all for “Best Director” is the winner of the Directors Guild Award; which Cuaron indeed won. While I don’t think Roma is quite the masterpiece that Gravity is, it is awfully close. Cuaron will win his second trophy for “Best Director” (Gravity) and could win as many as four Oscars before the night is through. Viva la Mexico!
Best Motion Picture of the Year
·         Black Panther: Kevin Feige
·         BlacKkKlansman: Sean McKittrick, Jason Blum, Raymond Mansfield, Jordan Peele, Spike Lee
·         Bohemian Rhapsody: Graham King
·         The Favourite: Ceci Dempsey, Ed Guiney, Lee Magiday, Yorgos Lanthimos
·         Green Book: Jim Burke, Charles B. Wessler, Brian Currie, Peter Farrelly, Nick Vallelonga
·         Roma: Gabriela Rodriguez, Alfonso Cuaron
·         A Star Is Born: Bill Gerber, Bradley Cooper, Lynette Howell Taylor
·         Vice: Dede Gardner, Jeremy Kleiner, Adam McKay, Kevin Messick
Who I’d vote for: A Star Is Born – Cooper’s directorial debut is the only film from the “Best Picture” nominees to make my Top 10 of 2018 so it obviously gets my vote. Combine incredible original music (RECORDED LIVE) with profoundly human performances and you get a modern day classic. I wish A Star Is Born could join One Flew Over the Cuckoo’s Nest (1975) and A Beautiful Mind (2001) as a “Best Picture” winner but I don’t see it happening. Mental health and addiction are crises many people do not want to talk about but the discussion is absolutely necessary.
Who will win: Roma – While President Trump does whatever he can to build a wall along our Mexican border, Hollywood will send a resilient message to Washington, D.C. by giving the industry’s top honor to a foreign language film for the first time in Oscar history. The cherry on top is that it will be a film from Mexico. While its win will be largely symbolic, the film itself is “Best Picture”-worthy due to the technical accomplishments behind the camera and the heart-warming account of a selfless woman so brilliantly portrayed by first-time film actress Yalitza Aparicio. The film opened my eyes to a culture I knew very little about; hopefully the rest of America can follow suit. Embed from Getty Images

WRAP-UP
The night will mostly belong to Alfonso Cuaron and Roma but as the Academy shifts toward rewarding more audience-pleasing films we will see a more balanced representation between prestige and popcorn. Black Panther and Bohemian Rhapsody will undoubtedly go home with little gold men and with the nominations of the critically disliked Vice and Bohemian Rhapsody for “Best Picture”, it made me wonder what other previous “Best Picture” nominees were also unpopular with the critics. I had to go back nearly a decade to find two comparable films: Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close (2011) and The Blind Side (2009). When averaging the critics’ scores from Rotten Tomatoes and MetaCritic and the audience scores from Rotten Tomatoes and IMDB.com, I came up with this list of the 2018 “Best Picture” Nominees in order of best average score (out of 100) and compared the results to the two most recent nominees that weren’t well received by the critics.

Film
RottenTomatoes
MetaCritic
RT Audience
IMBD
AVG
1
Roma
96
96
75
79
86.50
2
Black Panther
97
88
79
74
84.50
3
A Star Is Born
90
88
80
79
84.25
4
BlacKkKlansman
95
83
82
75
83.75
5
The Favourite
94
90
64
78
81.50
6
Green Book
79
69
94
83
81.25
7
Bohemian Rhapsody
61
49
88
82
70.00
8
Vice
66
61
56
72
63.75







2009
The Blind Side
66
53
85
77
70.25
2011
Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close
46
46
61
69
55.50

The top six films come out looking respectable (all besting 81/100) even though The Favourite is dragged down by audience scores and Green Book by critics. It’s interesting how well Bohemian Rhapsody’s numbers (70.00) match up with The Blind Side (70.25); both films were loved by audiences but torn apart by critics. But it’s Vice that comes away as the true loser here (63.75) becoming the worst “Best Picture” nominee since Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close (55.50) bringing into question the validity of its nomination. This data supports the theory that the Academy is moving toward balancing the blockbuster nominations with the art-house films - all the while trying to stay socially and politically woke, as it were. So sit back, relax, and enjoy this pivotal moment in the Academy’s history – the 91st Oscars. At the very least – Queen will, Queen will, rock you!

Written by:  Scott Schreiber

Podcast:  www.geekhomeworld.libsyn.com

Twitter:  @GeekHomeworld

2019 Oscar Predictions Part 1

The 91st annual Academy Awards has had a rough lead-up to the ceremony filled with indecision. There have been many judgment reversals along the way including the “Best Popular Film” shoot-down, the Kevin Hart hosting debacle and not televising the “Best Song” performances and four of the technical categories. The latter prompted an official letter of protest from Oscar-winning A-Listers including Ang Lee, Quentin Tarantino and Emmanuel “Chivo” Lubezki (3-time winner for “Best Cinematography” – one category that was slated to be cut).

Through all of this, it is the clear that the Academy (and to an extent ABC since they are televising the event) is putting public opinion first. After the disastrous ratings from last year’s Oscar telecast they are crumbling to any public criticism. So we will more than likely get another 4 hour show where the winners will list off a bunch of names and bore us to tears. Thank God we still get the “Best Song” performances and an opening treat from Queen and Adam Lambert. Lady Gaga and Bradley Cooper performing “Shallow” and a special appearance by Better Midler on Mary Poppins Returns’ “The Place Where Lost Things Go” are sure to be highlights of the evening. And I’m sure there will be a couple of surprises; as of now “All the Stars” from Black Panther has not been announced as one of the performances but don’t be surprised if you see Kendrick Lamar and SZA this Sunday night.

To complement the Academy’s emphasis on pleasing the public, this year’s crop of Oscar nominees got a little more box office friendly. The domestic box office champ of 2018, Black Panther, became the first superhero movie ever to be nominated for “Best Picture” while it was joined by Bohemian Rhapsody, a rousing crowd-pleaser /moneymaker but critical failure (61% on RottenTomatoes.com). As the Academy’s diversity grows, so too will the types of films we see nominated for Oscars. I believe 2018 is the turning point issuing in a new age of balance where blockbusters will be as accepted on the Oscar stage as the prestige films. Perhaps a Marvel movie will never win “Best Picture” but now they’ve at least got a seat at the table.

PREDICTIONS

Now let’s get to the fun part: Predictions! There are more coin flips and highly contested categories than usual this year but there will still be a fair share of locks. Part One will cover the short films, documentary, foreign, design, and sound awards. Part Two will cover all the major awards including acting, directing and “Best Picture”. Come along and pay close attention if you want to win your office Oscar pool this year…

Best Animated Short Film
Bao: first short film at Pixar directed by a femaleEmbed from Getty Images

Best Live Action Short FilmMarguerite: sweet story separates from the other “kids in peril” plotlines

Best Documentary Short SubjectA Night at the Garden: American fascism in 1939 eerily mirrors today

Best Documentary FeatureFree Solo: innovative camerawork, incredible feat by extraordinary manEmbed from Getty Images

Best Foreign Language Film of the YearRoma: breathtaking love letter to Mexico

Best Achievement in Makeup and Hairstyling
·
   
Border – Goran Lundstrom, Pamela Goldammer
·
  
Mary Queen of Scots – Jenny Shircore, Marc Pilcher, Jessica Brooks
·
  
Vice – Greg Cannom, Kate Biscoe, Patricia DeHaneyEmbed from Getty Images

Who I’d vote for: Vice – Christian Bale’s transformation into Dick Cheney is an astonishing accomplishment. If he wins his second Oscar of his career this Sunday, I guarantee you he will mention his 200 hours in the makeup chair and appreciatively thank his hair and makeup team. I just copied and pasted this from last year (Darkest Hour/Gary Oldman) and changed the names. It’s like déjà vu.

– It’s hard to deny this one. Bale disappears into Cheney; Carell into Rumsfeld; Perry into Powell; and so on and so on. Some of the best acting of the year can be seen in
Vice and their performances are largely fueled by their hair and makeup team. Makeup artist Greg Cannom already has three Oscar wins in his career for Dracula, Mrs. Doubtfire and The Curious Case of Benjamin Button. His work on Vice begs the voters to make it number four.

Best Achievement in Costume Design
·
  
The Ballad of Buster Scruggs – Mary Zophres
·
  
Black Panther – Ruth E. Carter Embed from Getty Images
·
  
The Favourite – Sandy Powell
·
  
Mary Poppins Returns – Sandy Powell
·
  
Mary Queen of Scots – Alexandra Byrne

Who I’d vote for: Black Panther – The Marvel movie’s costumes are the most unique of the nominated bunch. The wardrobes in the other four films are fantastic but I feel like we’ve seen them before in other period pieces and westerns of the past. The addition of having to clothe hundreds of extras only adds to this distinctive accomplishment of Ruth E. Carter and her team.

Who will win: Black Panther – The two period pieces (The Favourite & Mary Queen of Scots) will cancel each other out. Sandy Powell (3-time Oscar winner and now 14-time nominee) will also cancel herself out with her dual nominations. That leaves 3-time nominees Mary Zophres & Ruth E. Carter. I believe Carter edges out the competition earning her first Oscar win as the Academy will pounce on the most obvious (and deserving) chance to reward Black Panther a statuette.

Best Achievement in Production Design
·
  
Black Panther – Hannah Beachler, Jay Hart
·
  
The Favourite – Fiona Crombie, Alice Felton
·
  
First Man – Nathan Crowley, Kathy Lucas
·
  
Mary Poppins Returns – John Myhre, Gordon Sim
·
  
Roma – Eugenio Caballero, Barbara Enriquez

Who I’d vote for: First Man – You could argue a point for all five nominees here; all teams built stunningly different worlds. Ultimately, I’m drawn to the realism that Crowley and Lucas crafted for Damien Chazelle’s story of primitive space flight and the intrepid astronauts who dared take on the unknown challenges of said space exploration. You feel like you’re in Neil Armstrong’s space boots every step of the way, especially for that one giant leap.

Who will win: Black Panther – This is where the Academy might throw The Favourite a bone. With ten nominations, Yorgos Lanthimos’s period piece is tied for the most nominations this year (Roma) but I wouldn’t be surprised if it went home empty-handed at the end of the night. Again, I believe the voters are eager to reward Black Panther with some hardware but they won’t vote for a Marvel movie to win Best Picture. Expect to see the box office juggernaut take home multiple design awards including Production Design.

Best Achievement in Music Written for Motion Pictures (Original Score)
·
  
Black Panther – Ludwig Goransson
·
  
BlackKklansman – Terence Blanchard
·
  
If Beale Street Could Talk – Nicholas Britell
·
  
Isle of Dogs - Alexandre Desplat
·
  
Mary Poppins Returns – Marc Shaiman Embed from Getty Images

Who I’d vote for: Mary Poppins Returns – What a daunting challenge it had to be to make a sequel to the 54-year-old classic Mary Poppins. The enormous pressure on the shoulders of director Rob Marshall had to be lifted significantly when he heard Marc Shaiman’s original score. The spirit of the original film is brilliantly captured and duplicated through his magical re-interpretation.

Who will win: BlacKkKlansmanMary Poppins Returns seems like the obvious choice but this is the one category where I’m going out on a limb. I’m tempted to pick Black Panther, as well, since ABC has been using the film’s score to promote the Oscar telecast and Ludwig Goransson’s career is skyrocketing after his Grammy-winning collaboration with Childish Gambino. Aside from a possible win for screenplay, BlacKkKlansman will otherwise be shut out. Terence Blanchard is Spike Lee’s longtime colleague, composing nearly all of Lee’s films including brilliant scores for Malcolm X and 25th Hour. Shockingly, this is Blanchard’s first Oscar nomination and with a little luck, his first win.

Best Achievement in Music Written for Motion Pictures (Original Song)
·
  
The Ballad of Buster Scruggs- David Rawlings, Gillian Welch “When a Cowboy Trades His Spurs for Wings”
·
  
Black Panther – Kendrick Lamar, Mark Spears, Anthony Tiffith “All the Stars”
·
  
Mary Poppins Returns – Marc Shaiman, Scott Wittman “The Place Where Lost Things Go”
·
  
RBG – Diane Warren “I’ll Fight”
·
  
A Star Is Born – Lady Gaga, Mark Ronson, Anthony Rossomando, Andrew Wyatt “Shallow”

Who I’d vote for
: A Star Is Born – As a rule I don’t respect the “credit songs” as much as I do the songs that were actually used to help tell the story. That disqualifies the entries of Black Panther & RGB from the race. I loved the songs from Mary Poppins Returns as they captured the essence of the original classic but there really is no competition here. Not only is “Shallow” an earworm but it represents the pivotal moment in Ali and Jackson’s relationship when Ali steps forward into the spotlight for the very first time. I cannot wait to see Gaga and Cooper perform this during the telecast. Embed from Getty Images

Who will win: A Star Is Born – Hollywood will reward Lady Gaga an Oscar…but not for acting just yet. Sadly, I see this as the only win of the night for A Star Is Born and it is where it deserves it the most. How do you make a fourth iteration of a film and still keep it fresh and appealing to audiences? You create incredible original music and ground it with deeply human performances. Mission accomplished: consider it a 100% lock to win “Best Song”; you can go ahead and bet your life savings.

Best Achievement in Sound Mixing
·
  
Black Panther – Steve Boeddeker, Brandon Proctor, Peter Devlin
·
  
Bohemian Rhapsody – Paul Massey, Tim Cavagin, John Casali
·
  
First Man – Jon Taylor, Frank A. Montano, Ai-Ling Lee, Mary H. Ellis Embed from Getty Images
·
  
Roma – Skip Lievsay, Craig Henighan, Jose Antonio Garcia
·
  
A Star Is Born – Tom Ozanich, Dean Zupancic, Jason Ruder, Steve Morrow

Who I’d vote for: A Star Is Born – I’m shocked at myself for not saying First Man but I would vote for the film that captured live music like no other this year. As an avid concert goer (I’m a proud attendee of the first three Bonnaroo Music Festivals and countless other concerts), I felt A Star Is Born’s musical performances were exceptionally genuine while Bohemian Rhapsody’s karaoke approach felt staged and overblown. A Star Is Born recorded their performances live instead of adding the songs in later during post-production like Rhapsody. I’ll take genuine over fabricated any day of the week.

Who will win: Bohemian Rhapsody – It won Best Sound at the BAFTAs which is really the only precursor for the sound categories since the AMPS (Association of Motion Picture Sound) has not announced their winner yet. As I’ve mentioned, this year Hollywood wants to honor more box office smashes than they have in the past. Also, eight-time Oscar nominee Paul Massey has never won. This is probably one of multiple trophies Rhapsody takes home though I believe it is more deserving for sound editing.

Best Achievement in Sound Editing
·
  
Black Panther – Benjamin A. Burtt, Steve Boeddeker
·
  
Bohemian Rhapsody – John Warhurst, Nina Hartstone
·
  
First Man – Ai-Ling Lee, Mildred latrou Morgan
·
  
A Quiet Place – Ethan Van der Ryn, Erik Aadahl
·
  
Roma – Sergio Diaz, Skip Lievsay

Who I’d vote for
: First Man – While I would be tempted to vote for A Quiet Place (since this is its sole nomination), First Man’s sound design is second to none. The opening scene alone is enough mastery to elicit an Oscar win for sound editing. You feel like you are being blasted into the atmosphere thanks to the incredible work of Chazelle’s sound team. With Whiplash, La La Land and now First Man it is very clear that sound design is the essential glue of his movies.

Who will win
: First Man – This could go to Bohemian Rhapsody or even A Quiet Place (my not so secret wish) but I believe the voters will again spread the love and not deny the brilliance of First Man’s sound design. The Academy will also jump at the chance to reward a duel female editing team. It’s a crime First Man was not nominated for Best Picture so perhaps this is a consolation prize.

Best Achievement in Film Editing
·
  
BlacKkKlansman – Barry Alexander Brown
·
  
Bohemian Rhapsody – John Ottman
·
  
The Favourite – Yorgos Mavropsaridis
·
  
Green Book – Patrick J. Don Vito
·
  
Vice – Hank Corwin

Who I’d vote for: The Favourite- My top five films for editing in 2018 did not make the Academy’s list this year. They Shall Not Grow Old, First Man and Mission Impossible: Fallout are just of few of the films that should be here instead of some of the nominees. Out of the five nominated films, though, The Favourite is the best film therefore deserves the editing trophy. It had the potential to be a stereotypical stuffy period piece but turned out to be something entirely different due to the adept pacing .

Who will win: Vice – Of the five nominees, Vice has the most “flashy” editing. It seems the voters love the combination of Adam McKay and Hank Corwin’s storytelling styles having previously nominated both men for The Big Short. Corwin is the king of editing polarizing films (Natural Born Killers, Nixon, The Tree of Life). Vice won the BAFTA for Best Editing so I’d put my money on Corwin.

Best Achievement in Cinematography
·
  
The Favourite – Robbie Ryan
·
  
Never Look Away – Caleb Deschanel
·
  
Roma – Alfonso Cuaron    Embed from Getty Images
·     
  
A Star Is Born – Matty Libatique
·
  
Cold War – Lukasz Zal

Who I’d vote for: Roma – I haven’t had the fortune of seeing Cold War yet but Roma’s camerawork would be extremely hard to beat. Every shot was choreographed so meticulously that I found myself rewinding to dissect each movement. While I loved the deep reds of A Star Is Born and the skillful use of space in The Favourite, there is no denying the brilliant cinematography of Cuaron’s Roma.

Who will win: Roma– Not a question. Hand it over. Gorgeous black-and-white cinematography is something the Academy has normally lapped up over the more recent years (Schindler’s List, The Artist) since its usage has dwindled to near non-existence. If there happens to be an upset, it would probably be the other black-and-white nominee (Cold War) to do the honors. But expect to see Alfonso Cuaron walk up to the stage several times this Sunday, starting with this award.

Check out 2019 Oscar Predictions: Part Two - The Major Awards!